7 December 2024
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Market for Cryptocurrency to Reach $11.71 Billion by 2030 |with a CAGR: 12.5%

Introduction

A ground-breaking invention that is changing the way we think about finance is cryptocurrency. The desire for decentralized, safe, and effective digital transactions gave rise to cryptocurrencies, which have since become a major global phenomenon.

What is Cryptocurrency?

Cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual form of currency that utilizes cryptography to secure financial transactions, control the creation of additional units, and verify the transfer of assets. Unlike traditional fiat currencies issued by central banks, cryptocurrencies are decentralized and operate on blockchain technology-a transparent and immutable distributed ledger.

Key Features of Cryptocurrency:

  • Decentralization: Cryptocurrencies are typically decentralized and operate on distributed networks like blockchains.
  • Cryptography: Cryptographic methods are used by cryptocurrencies to protect transactions and regulate the generation of new units. By ensuring the confidentiality and integrity of transactions, cryptography makes them impervious to fraud and tampering.
  • Transparency: Blockchain-based public ledgers used by cryptocurrencies frequently provide transparent transaction records. These ledgers store all transaction history and are accessible to anyone on the network.  Transparency improves accountability and confidence.
  • Security: Cryptocurrencies use strong security measures to safeguard digital assets and thwart unauthorized access. Cryptocurrencies are very secure because of their cryptographic nature, especially when users protect their private keys and adhere to standard security practices.
  • Irreversibility: Reversibility is next to impossible after a Bitcoin transaction has been verified and put into the blockchain. The possibility of fraudulent chargebacks is reduced by this irreversibility, which also improves security.
  • Global Accessibility: Cryptocurrencies make international transactions possible without the use of conventional financial institutions. Cryptocurrency transactions allow everyone with an internet connection to take part, encouraging financial inclusion and accessibility.

 

Forward-Looking Indicators:

The future of cryptocurrency looks promising, with several trends shaping its trajectory:

  • Mainstream Adoption: Broader acceptance and integration into daily life are to be expected as more people, organizations, and institutions come to understand the advantages of cryptocurrencies. Governments are exploring central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) as a potential alternative to cryptocurrencies.
  • Regulatory Framework: Governments around the world are developing regulatory frameworks to govern the cryptocurrency space. Regulation can bring stability, prevent illicit activities, and foster institutional adoption.
  • Enhanced Scalability and Efficiency: Aimed at addressing the issues of scalability and transaction speed, blockchain technology is continuously evolving to provide more scalability and efficiency. Solutions like layer-two protocols, such as the Lightning Network, and new consensus mechanisms like proof-of-stake (PoS) aim to improve efficiency, making cryptocurrencies more viable for everyday transactions.
  • Integration with Traditional Finance: There is an increasing convergence between cryptocurrencies and conventional finance. Established financial institutions are looking for methods to add cryptocurrencies to their services, including by launching crypto custody solutions and trading services.

Risks associated with Cryptocurrency:

Volatility:

The price volatility of cryptocurrencies is extremely high. An investor may experience huge gains or losses as a result of the value of a cryptocurrency fluctuating significantly over short periods of time.

Lack of Regulation:

The cryptocurrency market operates in a relatively unregulated environment compared to traditional financial markets. The absence of comprehensive regulations can expose investors to fraud, scams, and market manipulation.

Security Risks:

Although the fact that blockchain technology is considered to be safe, certain user practices and the surrounding infrastructure might only sometimes be. Exchanges, wallets, and other platforms hosting cryptocurrencies may be subject to hacking, phishing scams, and security lapses. People are at risk of losing their digital assets if adequate safety protocols are not put in place.

Potential Unlawful Activities:

People who engage in criminal activities, such as money laundering, tax evasion, and shady online transactions, may find cryptocurrencies appealing due to their pseudonymous nature. Despite measures to strengthen regulatory supervision and prevent illicit use, its connection to unlawful conduct is still cause for concern.

Lack of Investor Protection:

Contrary to conventional banking systems, wherein investors are protected by measures like deposit insurance and legal safeguards, the market for Bitcoin often does not have similar safeguards. Recovering money and holding those responsible in the event of theft, loss, or fraudulent activity can be challenging.

Technological Risks:

Blockchain networks and smart contracts, two forms of complicated technologies that cryptocurrencies rely on, pose risks. Hackers may take advantage of any flaws that exist in these technologies or vulnerabilities that lead to jeopardizing their ecosystem or financial loss. Additionally, for the technology of blockchain to be widely adopted, current issues with efficiency and scalability must be resolved.

Market Manipulation:

Some cryptocurrencies are susceptible to market manipulation because of their small market capitalization. Such deceptive tactics include pump-and-dump operations, in which the group artificially inflates the price of a cryptocurrency before selling it.

Legal and Regulatory Uncertainty:

The regulatory and legal framework for cryptocurrencies continues to evolve with various nations and governments taking various strategies and accepting them to different degrees. Market conditions and investor confidence may be affected by speculation over prospective regulations and restrictions in the future.

                               

Cryptocurrency Regulations and Policies in the United States:

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC):

In terms of regulating cryptocurrencies, the SEC is crucial. It has stated that some cryptocurrencies and initial coin offerings (ICOs) can be deemed securities and be governed by federal securities regulations. Companies that offer securities by way of initial coin offerings (ICOs) must register with the SEC or obtain an exemption.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC):

Under the Commodity Exchange Act, the CFTC oversees cryptocurrencies as commodities. It has the power to regulate trading in futures and cryptocurrency derivatives. The CFTC keeps an eye on cryptocurrency exchanges and trading platforms and takes action against any fraudulent or manipulative conduct.

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN)

FinCEN is in charge of enforcing anti-money laundering (AML) and anti-terrorist funding laws in the United States. Cryptocurrency exchanges and money service businesses dealing with cryptocurrencies are subject to FinCEN’s regulations, including implementing robust KYC (Know Your Customer) and AML procedures.

Internal Revenue Service (IRS):

The IRS treats cryptocurrencies as taxable assets. It has issued guidance stating that cryptocurrencies should be treated as property for tax purposes. Individuals and businesses are required to report cryptocurrency transactions, including capital gains or losses, for tax filing purposes.

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC):

Federal savings associations and national banks in the United States are regulated by the OCC. The OCC clarified in a letter published in July 2020 that national banks can maintain stablecoin reserves and perform custody services for cryptocurrencies, providing certainty regarding regulation to institutions looking to enter the cryptocurrency market.

State-level Regulations:

In addition to federal regulatory measures, individual US states have regulations on cryptocurrencies. While some states have passed legislation to promote the adoption of blockchain technology and created regulatory sandboxes for cutting-edge initiatives, others have passed laws requiring cryptocurrency exchanges to obtain licenses.

New Developments in Cryptocurrency Regulation in the US:

The attorney general of New York in the first week of May 2023 announced more stringent regulations to “put an end to the fraudulent activities and corruption that have become the distinctive features of cryptocurrency,” a move that is likely to increase attention on the multi-billion dollar crypto market globally.

The bill is one of the strongest ever and targets fraud practices in an industry with little federal monitoring, which may wind up costing consumers hundreds of millions of dollars annually. The drafting of cryptocurrency laws has been spearheaded by the state of New York and its Attorney General Letitia James.

Similar legislation has been considered for adoption by other states like California and Illinois. The Crypto Regulation, Protection, Transparency, and Oversight Act of New York, calls for one of the most thorough sets of cryptocurrency legislation in the country.

Market Size

Market for Cryptocurrency to Reach $11.71 Billion by 2030 | CAGR: 12.5%

  • As per Market research firm Grand View Research, the market for cryptocurrencies worldwide, which was valued at USD 4.67 billion in 2022, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.5% between 2023 and 2030. With a CAGR of 12.5%, the market for cryptocurrencies is projected to grow from its current global market size of USD 5.15 billion to $11.71 billion by 2030.
  • According to a study by Fortune Business Insights, the global market for cryptocurrencies is anticipated to increase from $910.3 million in 2021 to $1,902.5 million in 2028, with a CAGR of 11.1% during the forecast period of 2021–2028.

The size of the global market includes mining hardware like the Antminer S19, WhatsMiner M30S+, and AvalonMiner 1246 as well as various cryptocurrency mining software including Kryptex miner by Kryptex, Cudo Miner by Cudo Ventures, and Nicehas miner by NICEHASH Ltd.

The development of distributed ledger technology and increased digital venture capital investments are the primary drivers of the market’s expansion. Developing nations have begun using digital currency as a means of financial exchange. In the years that lie ahead, industry growth is likely to be driven by the growing acceptance of digital assets like Bitcoin and Litecoin.

  • In another study by The International Market Analysis Research and Consulting Group (IMARC Group), In 2022, the market size of the cryptocurrency was USD 2.019 billion. Looking ahead, the IMARC Group projects that the market will increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.7% from 2023 to 2028, reaching USD 4.007 billion.
  • According to another market research firm, Beyond Market Insights,  the worldwide cryptocurrency industry will expand from its current market value of USD 4.40 billion in 2021 to USD 12.10 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 11.9% from 2022 to 2030.

Market Segmentation:

By Type:

Cryptocurrencies can be categorized based on their type or underlying technology.

  1. Bitcoin
  2. Ethereum
  3. Bitcoin Cash
  4. Ripple
  5. Litecoin
  6. Dashcoin

Market Capitalization:

Cryptocurrencies can be segmented based on their market capitalization. The market capitalization of a cryptocurrency is calculated by multiplying the price by the total supply. It offers a gauge for a cryptocurrency’s entire value. Based on their market capitalization, cryptocurrencies are often divided into large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap categories.

Use Case or Functionality:

Depending on their intended use case or functionality, cryptocurrencies can be divided into several categories. Some cryptocurrencies strive to act as a means of exchange for regular transactions, while others concentrate on offering platforms for decentralized apps, enabling the tokenization of assets, or enabling privacy-enhanced transactions.

Geographical Location:

The geographical location of cryptocurrency users can also be used to categorize the market. The adoption of cryptocurrencies, legal environments, and market dynamics may vary between regions and nations. This categorization aids in comprehending local trends and advancements.

Adoption Level:

market maturity and adoption level of cryptocurrencies can also be used to categorize them. While some cryptocurrencies may be in the early phases of development and adoption, others may already be widely accepted and used. The market dynamics and growth potential of various cryptocurrencies can throw better understanding by segmentation depending on adoption level.

Trading Volume: 

Based on their trading volume, the sum of all transactions made over a given period, cryptocurrencies can be divided into different categories. A high trade volume reflects higher market activity and liquidity. High-trading volume cryptocurrencies are regarded as more liquid and attractive to investors.

Industry Verticals:

The industries that cryptocurrencies target or provide services for can be used to segment cryptocurrencies. For instance:

  • Tokens for Decentralised Finance (DeFi) serve the expanding market for financial applications based on blockchain technology.
  • The in-game economies and transactions that take place within gaming ecosystems are catered to specifically by gaming cryptocurrencies
  • Cryptocurrencies that are geared towards supply chains and logistics seek to increase supply chains’ transparency and traceability.

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